ارزیابی عوامل پیشران برنامه‌ریزی محله‌ای در شهر اردبیل با رویکرد آینده پژوهی
الموضوعات :عیسی پیری 1 , علیرضا محمدی 2 , حسین شکری پور دیزج 3
1 - استادیار جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری، دانشگاه زنجان، زنجان، ایران
2 - دانشیار جغرافیا و برنامه‌ریزی شهری، دانشگاه محقق اردبیلی، اردبیل، ایران
3 - دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری دانشگاه زنجان، زنجان. ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: شهر اردبیل, برنامه‌ریزی محله‌ای, عوامل پیشران, تحلیل ساختاری متقابل, نرم‌افزار Mic Mac,
ملخص المقالة :
برنامه‌ریزی محله‌ای تمام ویژگی‌ها و ابعاد زندگی شهری را در بر می‌گیرد که با ارزیابی عوامل پیشران آن می‌توان به بالاترین هدف برنامه شهری یعنی عدالت فضایی دست یافت و بستر مناسبی را برای توسعه پایدار شهری فراهم نمود. در همین راستا، هدف اصلی این تحقیق شناسایی عوامل کلیدی و نیروهای پیشران برنامه‌ریزی محله‌ای در شهر اردبیل با رویکرد آینده‌پژوهی می‌باشد. پژوهش حاضر از نظر هدف کاربردی و از نظر ماهیت و روش، توصیفی- تحلیلی است. جامعه آماری تحقیق شامل پژوهشگران در حوزه برنامه ریزی محله ای در شهر اردبیل می باشد. حجم نمونه به روش نمونه‌گیری گلوله برفی 30 نفر بدست آمده است(با اشباع نظری) و برای تجزیه و تحلیل داده‌های این تحقیق از نرم‌افزار میک‌مک استفاده شده‌است. یافته‌های تحقیق نشان می‌دهد که متغیرهای قوانین و دستورالعمل-ها، بینش راهبردی، سیستم اداری، تفویض مسئولیت و قانونمندی، بالاترین رتبه‌های تأثیرگذاری و متغیرهای اعتماد اجتماعی، مشارکت ساکنین، توافق جمعی، امنیت و تفویض مسئولیت، بالاترین رتبه‌های تأثیر‌پذیری کلی را داشته‌اند. در حالت کلی از میان 23 متغیر بررسی شده این پژوهش، تعداد 12 متغیر قوانین و دستورالعمل‌ها، سیستم اداری، بینش راهبردی، مسئولیت‌پذیری، طرح‌های بالادستی، قانونمندی، عدالت‌محوری، شفافیت، بستر مشارکتی، تفویض مسئولیت، اثربخشی و پاسخ‌گویی به‌عنوان عوامل پیشران برنامه-ریزی محله‌ای در شهر اردبیل انتخاب شده‌اند. نتیجه این که هرگونه برنامه‌ریزی محله‌ای در شهر اردبیل باید نقش کلیدی عوامل مذکور را مورد توجه قرار دهد. این متغیرها در بهبود برنامه‌ریزی محله‌ای در شهر اردبیل دارای قدرت نفوذ بالا و وابستگی پایینی هستند و اولویت اول در برنامه‌ریزی محله‌ای در شهر اردبیل به حساب می‌آیند
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