Modeling Optimal Capital Structure Via System Dynamics Approach
الموضوعات :Hamid Abdoli 1 , Reza Tehrani 2 , Amen Khadivar 3
1 - Department of Management, Faculty of Management, Tehran North Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
2 - Department of Management, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
3 - Department of Management, Faculty of Social Sciences and Economics, Al-Zahra University, Tehran, Iran
الکلمات المفتاحية: Simulation, Firm Value, Capital Structure, System Dynamics,
ملخص المقالة :
Several theories have been presented about the corporate capital structure; some researchers believe that the structure of capital and firm value depend on each other. Moreover, others believe that the firm value is not influenced by any changes in the structure of capital, and with the change in the structure of capital, the value of the firm remains constant. The present research studies the historical theories of capital structure and presents the classification of existing theories in terms of the optimal capital structure. This classification is subdivided into two categories: the presence of an optimal capital structure and the absence of an optimal capital structure. With the historical review of theories of capital structure and the presence of an optimal capital structure or the lack of an optimal capital structure, it seems that none has been a complete model and so far, no one has been able to provide an optimal capital structure. In this research, from the system dynamics approach and using VENSIM software, the capital structure and share price of the company have been studied and the results of model simulation with real data are to ensure the correct performance of the model behavior. And the results show that financing through debt in the capital structure of the company has a significant effect on the debt cost rate and capital cost rate and does not have a significant effect on stock prices. Finally, the share price shows little sensitivity to the company's financial structure.
Alexandra Nenu, E., Vintila, G., & Gherghina, S. Ch. (2018). The Impact of Capital Structure on Risk and Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence for the Bucharest Stock Exchange Listed Companies. ID International Journal of Financial Studies, 6(2), 41. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs6020041
Ardabili, M. H., & Bigler, K. (2006). Investigating the Relationship between Capital Structure Criteria and Performance Characteristics of Companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange. Accounting Knowledge and Research Quarterly, 2(6), 46-55.
Ardakani,S.S, & Tabataba’i nasab,S.M.(2020). Marketing Strategy Evaluation by Integrating Dynamic Systems Modeling and Network Data Envelopment Analysis, Journal of System Management, Issue 1, pp. 019-034
Bagherzadeh, S. (2003). Explaining the capital structure pattern of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. Journal of Financial Research, (16), 23-47.
Booth L, Aivazian, V., Demirguc-Kunt, A., Maksimovic, V. (2001). Capital Structure in Developing Countries. The Journal of Finance, LVI(1), 87-130.
Chen, J., & Strange, R. (2005). The Determinants of Capital Structure: Evidence from Chines Listed Companies. Economic Change and Restructuring, 38, 11–35. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-005-4521-7
Danso, A . , & Adomako, S . (2014). The financing behavior of firms and financial crisis. Managerial Finance, 40 (12 ), 1159 –1174.
Eslami Bidgoli, Mazaheri Tahmasb Ghulam Reza (2009) Hierarchy in explaining the structure of capital. Journal of Accounting Research, No. 3, p.4.
Fama, E., & French, K. (1992). The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns. The Journal of Finance, 2, 427-465.
Forrester, J. W., & Brink, H. M. (1999). Industrial Dynamics. MIT Press.
Gaud, P., Hoesli, M., & Bender, A. (2007). Debt-equity choice in Europe. International Review of Financial Analysis, 16(3), 201-222. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2006.08.003
Hanna, R. W. (2020). Capital Structure Determinants, Dynamics and Speed of Adjustment Towards Target Leverage: A Systematic Literature Review of Empirical and Theoretical Disciplines. International Journal of Recent Scientific Research, 11(02), 37517-37528. http://dx.doi.org/10.24327/ijrsr.2020.1102.5127
Hassani Hassan and Pakmaram Asgar, 2017, Factors Affecting the Capital Structure of Companies with Emphasis on Business Cycle , https://civilica.com/doc/872536
Khan, A., Qureshi, M. A., & Davidsen, P. I. (2020). A system dynamics model of capital structure policy for firm value maximization. Systems Research and Behavioral Science, 2020, 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1002/sres.2693
Kordistani, Gholamreza and Pirdavari, Tanaz, 2012, Capital Structure, Experimental Test of Market Scheduling Theory, https://civilica.com/doc/1124555
Kordistani Gholamreza, & Najafi Imran, M. (2008). A Study of Determinants of Capital Structure; Experimental Test of Static Balance Theory vs. Hierarchical Theory. Financial Research, 10(25), 73-90.
Kymiagari, A. M., & Einali ,Soodabeh. (2008). Presenting a comprehensive model of capital structure (Case study of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange). Financial Research, 10(25), 91-108.
Lopes, N., Cerqueira, A., & Brandao, E. (2017). The Determinants of Capital Structure: impact of institutional determinants and subprime crisis. MSc thesis, Faculty of economic, University of U. Porto.
Mousavi Hanjani, S.M., & Iranban, S.J. (2019) The Relationship between Diversification Strategy, Capital Structure and Profitability in Companies Listed
in the Stock Exchange by Combining the Data Line and VAR Methods. Journal of System Management. Vol 5, No. 1.,41-60
Mousavi Haghighi, M. H., & Sotoudeh, F. (2013) Simulation of Stock Behavior Dynamics Pattern in Tehran Stock Exchange. Strategic Management Studies, (14), 35-52.
Namazi, M., & Shirzadeh, J. (2005). Investigating the Relationship between Capital Structure and Profitability of Companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange (with Emphasis on the Type of Industry). Accounting and Auditing Reviews, (42), 75-95.
Qiu, M., & La, B. (2010). Firm Characteristics as Determinants of Capital Structure in Australia. International Journal of the Economics of Business, 17(3), 277-287. https://doi.org/10.1080/13571516.2010.513810
Rajan, R.G., & Zingales, L. (1995). What do We Know about Capital Structure? Some evidence from International Data. The Journal of Finance, 50(5), 1421-1460. https://doi.org/10.2307/2329322
Sarlak, N., Faraji, O., & Bayat, F. (2015). The relationship between financial characteristics of the company and the structure of capital in the life cycle of the company. Quarterly Journal of Financial Accounting and Auditing Research, 7(27), 1-21.
Sterman, J. D. (2000). Business Dynamics. McGraw-Hill, Boston.
Sunder, L. S., & Myers, S. C. (1999). Testing Static Tradeoff Against Pecking Order Models of Capital Structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 51, 219-244. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00051-8