مدل‌سازی خرده‌فروش در برنامه‌ریزی بهینه و تاب آور ظرفیت شبکه‌های هوشمند، با درنظرگرفتن منابع مدیریت سمت تقاضا و عدم‌قطعیت‌ها
احسان خوش کردار
1
(دانشکده مهندسی برق- واحد کرمانشاه، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرمانشاه، ایران)
عبداله راستگو
2
(دانشکده مهندسی برق- واحد کرمانشاه، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرمانشاه، ایران)
سعید خراطی
3
(دانشکده مهندسی برق- واحد کرمانشاه، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرمانشاه، ایران)
الکلمات المفتاحية: تاب‌آوری, شبکه هوشمند, خرده‌فروش, مدل‌سازی ظرفیت,
ملخص المقالة :
هر ساله در سراسر جهان خاموشی های بسیاری به دلیل فجایع طبیعی رخ می دهند که هزینه های بسیاری به منظور بازیابی شبکه تحمیل می کنند. از این رو مفهوم تاب آوری تعریف و تلاش ها برای عملکرد تاب آور شبکه های برق شدت گرفت. یکی از موارد مهم در طراحی شبکه های برق تاب آور، تامین ظرفیت مورد نیاز سیستم با در نظرگرفتن موضوع تاب آوری است که مدنظر این مقاله است. از آنجا که با توجه به دلایل اقتصادی حضور بیشتر ارائه دهندگان ظرفیت سبب ایجاد رقابت و بهبود کارایی بازار می شود، باید از منابع مدیریت سمت مصرف نیز در بازار ظرفیت استفاده شود. با توجه به این که حضور پایدار و کارای منابع مدیریت سمت مصرف در بازار ظرفیت تنها با مشارکت شرکت های تامین کننده بار، که در این مقاله شرکت های خرده فروشی در نظر گرفته شده اند، امکان پذیر است، باید پارامترهای تاثیرگذار بر رفتار آنها و نحوه تعامل آنها با دو بخش بازار (مدیریت بازار و مشترکین) در هر دو سمت بازار مدل سازی شود. از این رو در این مقاله مدل سازی و ارزیابی شده است که مشارکت خرده فروش در بازار ظرفیت چگونه است و تا چه میزان می تواند بر کاهش هزینه های قابلیت اطمینان و تاب آوری در بازار ظرفیت موثر باشد. طبیعی است که باید سود خرده فروش در این تجارت نیز محاسبه شود و اطمینان حاصل شود که خرده فروش با کسب سود قابل قبول در این بازار حضور خواهد یافت تا شبکه نیز از حضور او بهره مند شود. نتایج عددی نشان داده است که به کارگیری خرده فروش به عنوان نماینده منابع سمت مصرف در بازار ظرفیت سبب کاهش هزینه های خاموشی به اندازه 5/1 درصد معادل با صرفه جویی 297638 دلار در سال خواهد شد، این در حالی است که خرده فروش نیز از این تجارت به طور متوسط روزانه حدود 3716 دلار سود خواهد برد.
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