A Survey of Iran’s place between Middle Eastern and Central Asia countries according to economic and environmental indexes of MDG
Subject Areas : Financial EconomicsJavad Salahi 1 , Yashar Tarverdi 2
1 - Assistant professor of Economics, Islamic Azad University, Central Tehran Branch
2 - کارشناس ارشد اقتصاد توسعه و برنامه ریزی
Keywords: Millennium Development Goals, 1404 vision, Poverty Eradication, Environmental policy,
Abstract :
Conspicuously enough, UN-MDG (Millennium Development Goals) indexes cover the various aspects of economic development in countries. Indeed, MDGs are collection from the World Bank and the IMF indexes which were used for monitoring economics status and every member of the UN is subjected to report the required data in former designed format and frequency. Furthermore reported data and usage of indexes provide tremendous chance to compare the countries with each other. In the year 2002, Iran has adopted a strategic vision named “Iran 1202” which is suggested that Iran is going to be the 1 st country in the ME and CA region in economic, social, cultural aspects. BY using almost 20 years long data of MDG indexes and the use of ADF and ARIMA time series models the index values of countries in 2012 are estimated and in the result by ranking Iran position among Middle Eastern and central Asian countries in the year 2012 is forecasted. Due to lack of data in some indexes a combination of graphical trend analysis and ARIMA models are used. In conclusion in the year 2012 Iran would be in the 2 high rank countries in the 1 st ,2 nd , 7 th goals of MDG.
