Predicting the cost and income of shipping companies in road transit using the dynamic system (Study: Shipping companies in bandar abbas-Sarakhs corridor)

Subject Areas : business management

Mohammad Reza Farshidnejad ¹ , Habibollah Javanmard ² , Sayyed Alireza Mirarabbeigi ³

1 - Department of Industrial management, Rudehen Branch, Islamic Azad University, Rudehen, Iran
2 - Department of Industrial management, Arak Branch, Islamic Azad University, Arak, Iran
3 - Department of Industrial management, Rudehen Branch, Islamic Azad University, Rudehen, Iran

Received: 2024-10-26 Accepted : 2024-12-07 Published : 2025-02-24

Keywords: Cost, Dynamic system, Income, Transit.,

Abstract :

Predicting the income and costs of transportation in transit, can help shipping companies for better planning to attract transit and increase foreign revenue for the country. The purpose of research is to predict the cost and income of shipping companies in transit using dynamic system. The research method is descriptive and the method of data collection are data base and field study. The samples include two groups, the first group are experts in the field of financial and transportation has been used to determine the dimensions and variables of model and the second group are data for model which composed of three transport companies in the bandar abbas-Sarakhs corridor. To obtain and validate the behavior of the system We considered cost of the time from 2011 to 2024 year, and run VENSIM software for prediction cost and income from 2024 to 2030. By introducing and adding new variable of trade velocity to the model, the results showed that income, cost of each trip and total cost of transportation will increase significantly. Also, by changing in the exogenous variable, income and cost will be changed, therefore, it is suggested that the government pay special attention to improvement of trade speed

References:


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