Identifying the Driving Factors Affecting the Ecological Security of Tourism Based on the Capacities of the Karun River
Subject Areas : Geography and Tourism
Ahmad Rahdar
1
,
Dr.Manochehr javanmardi
2
1 - M.A., Geography and urban planning, Mahshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Mahshahr, Iran.
2 - Assistant Professor Department of Geography and Rural planning, Ahvaz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ahvaz, Iran.
Keywords: Identification, Driver, Ecological Security, Tourism, Karun River,
Abstract :
Karun river is a key region for environmental protection and high-quality economic development in ahvaz metropolis. However, tourism is a serious threat to the environment due to the continued development of urbanization and industrial transformation. Hence, the present study aims to identify the driving factors affecting the ecological security of tourism considering the capacities of the karun river. The method of this study is explanatory based on the new methods of future research. The factors were evaluated by 30 experts and specialists in urban planning using environmental scanning, and interaction/structural effects analysis. MICMAC future research specialized software was used in this regard. The results revealed that the dispersion state of the effective variables indicates the sustainability of the system. Based on 31 investigated factors, 10 primary factors were selected as key factors affecting the ecological security of tourism. All factors were repeated in both direct and indirect methods. The results indicated that the variables related to the dimensions of the scale and profit of tourism as drivers of the tourism industry have been preferred over the objectives of protecting the environment and environmental resources. Variables such as the number of employees in the tourism industry, the income from international and domestic tourists, the number of star hotels, the ratio of educational expenses to public finances, the number of international and domestic tourists, the total retail sales of hotels, catering services, and unemployment rate and urbanization are prioritized. This study revealed that the tourism capacities in the ahvaz metropolis, especially the karun river, have been abandoned due to mismanagement. Also, the results suggest that tourism planning has not been considered and the use of foresight and forecasting tools can facilitate the achievement of tourism goals.
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