Subject Areas : Applied Economics
احمد صلاح منش
1
(استادیار گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز)
سید عزیزالله آرمن
2
(استاد گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز)
صدیقه بختیاری
3
(دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد دانشگاه چمران اهواز)
Keywords:
Abstract :
اخباری محمد ؛ محقق نیا محمد جواد. (1393). برآورد نرخ بیکاری همراه با تورم غیرشتابان در اقتصاد ایران و کاربرد آن در سیاستگذاری اقتصادی. مقاله 5، دوره 11، شماره 4، صفحه 113-134.
اصغرپور، حسین. سلمانی، بهزاد. جلیلی مرند، علیرضا. (1392). تأثیر هدفگذاری تورم بر نرخ رشد اقتصادی درکشورهای غیرصنعتی. پژوهش ها و سیاست های اقتصادی سال بیست و یکم بهار شماره 65.
حسینی سیدصفدر، قلی زاده حیدر(1389). بررسی تورم و بیکاری در اقتصاد ایران. پژوهشهای اقتصادی ایران : دوره 13، شماره 43 ، از صفحه 23 تا صفحه 54 .
رحیم گودرزی ، محمود صبوحی صابونی ، ناصر شاه نوشی فروشانی ، حسیم مهرابی ، ماشاله سالاپور. (1391). شبیه سازی اثر هدفمندی یارانه ها بر روند رشد اقتصادی ، تورم و بیکاری در ایران با استفاده از الگوریتم کنترل بهینه تصادفی. پژوهش های اقتصادی ایران، دوره (17)، شماره (53)، ، صفحات (135-157)
سهیلی،کیومرث ؛ سهراب دل انگیزان؛ پرتو پور محمودیان. (1392). برآورد تأثیر نرخ های متفاوت تورم بر نرخ رشد اقتصادی و تعیین حد آستانه ای نرخ تورم در ایران در قالب مدل های غیرخطی. اقتصاد کلان. دوره 8، شماره 16، صفحه 121-140.
فلاحی فیروز، اصغرپور حسین، متفکرآزاد محمدعلی، منتظری شورکچالی جلال. (1391). تاثیر تورم بر رشد اقتصادی در ایران: با استفاده از مدل رگرسیون انتقال ملایم (STR). سیاست های اقتصادی (نامه مفید) : دوره 8 (18)، شماره 1 (90)، از صفحه 47 تا صفحه 64.
Albuquerque, B., & Baumann, U. Will US inflation awake from the
Altissimo, F., & Violante, G. L. (2001). The non-linear dynamics of output and unemployment in the US. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(4), 461–486.
Ball, L., & Mazumder, S. (2011). Inflation dynamics and the Great Recession. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 42(1 (Spring)), 337–405.
Ball, L., Mankiw, G., Romer, D., 1988. The new Keynesian economics and output-inflation trade-off. Brook. Pap. Econ. Act. 1, 1–65.
Bhattarai, K. (2016). Unemployment–inflation trade-offs in OECD countries. Economic Modelling, 58, 93-103.
Bianchi, F., & Melosi, L. (2017). Escaping the Great Recession. American Economic Review (in press),
Blanchard, O. J., & Fischer, S. (1989). Lectures on macroeconomics. MIT press.
Blanchard, O. J., & Kiyotaki, N. (1987). Monopolistic competition and the effects of aggregate demand. The American Economic Review, 647-666.
Blanchard, O.J., 2016. Phillips Curve: Back to the 60s, American Economic Review, Papersand Proceedings. (May.https://www.aeaweb.org/webcasts/2016/Economy.php).
Blanchflower, D.G., Oswald, A., 1994. Estimating a wage curve for Britain, 1973–90, economic journal, September, 1025–1043. Also Wage Curve. MIT Press.
Blinder, A. S. (1997). Is government too political?. Foreign Affairs, 115-126.
Brunner, K., Meltzer, A.H., McGuire, G., 1976. The Phillips Curve and Labour Markets. North Holland.
Caballero, R.J., Hammour, M.L., 1994. The cleansing effect of recession. Am. Econ. Rev. 84, 1350–1368.
Cazes, S., Verick, S., Al Hussami, F. (2011). Diverging trends in unemployment in the United States and Europe: Evidence from Okun’s law and the global financial crisis. Employment Working Paper, 106. Geneva, Switzerland: International Labour Organization.
Christopoulos, D., (2004). “The relationship between output and unemployment: Evidence from Greek Regions”. Papers in Regional Sciences, 83: 611-620.
Clarida, R., Gali, J., & Gertler, M. (1999). The science of monetary policy: a new Keynesian perspective (No. w7147). National bureau of economic research.
Coibion, O., & Gorodnichenko, Y. (2015). Is the Phillips curve alive and well after all? Inflation expectations and the missing disinflation. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 7(1), 197–232.
Cross, R., 1988. Unemployment, Hysteresis and the Natural Rate Hypothesis. Blackwell, Basil.
dead? The role of slack and non-linearities in the Phillips curve. Journal of Policy Modeling (2017), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.01.004
Debelle, G., & Laxton, D. (1997). Is the Phillips curve really a curve? Some evidence for Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States. IMF Staff Papers, 44(2), 249–282.
Dixon, H., 1988. Controversy: themacroeconomics of unemployment in the OECD. Econ. J. 108, 779–781 (May).
erman, R., & Tavera, C. (2005). A cross-country analysis of the Okun’s law coefficient convergence in Europe. Applied Economics, 37(21), 2501–2513
Farsio, F., & Quade, S. (2003). An empirical analysis of the relationship between GDP and unemployment. Humanomics, 19(3), 1-6.
Friedman, M., 1968. The role of monetary policy. Am. Econ. Rev. LVIII (March 1-17).
Goodfriend, M., & King, R. G. (1997). The new neoclassical synthesis and the role of monetary policy. NBER macroeconomics annual, 12, 231-283.
Gordon, R. (2013). The Phillips curve is alive and well: Inflation and the NAIRU during the slow recovery, NBERWorking Papers 19390. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Grubb, D., 1986. Topics in OECD Phillips curve. Econ. J. 96, 55–79.
Harris, R., & Silverstone, B. (2000). Asymmetric adjustment of unemployment and output in New Zealand: Rediscovering Okun’s law.
Harris, R., & Silverstone, B. (2001). Testing for asymmetry in Okun’s law: A cross-country comparison. Economics Bulletin, 5(2), 1–13.
Hatzius, J., & Stehn, S. (2014). Slack and inflation: Not so fast. Goldman Sachs US Economics Analyst, 14/13.
Hoon, T.H., 2001. Adjustment of wages and equilibrium unemployment in a Ricardian global economy. J. Int. Econ. 54, 193–209.
Huang, H.-C., & Lin, S.-C. (2006). A flexible nonlinear inference to Okun’s relationship. Applied Economics Letters, 13(5), 325–331.
Hung, F.-S., International Review of Economics and Finance (2017),
Kajuth, F. (2012). Identifying the Phillips curve through shifts in volatility. Journal of Macroeconomics, 34(4), 975-991.
Keynes, J.M., 1936. The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. MacMillan and Cambridge University Press.
Layard, R., Nickell, S., 1986. Unemployment in Britain. Economica 53, S121–S169.
Layard, R., Nickell, S., 1990. Is unemployment lower if unions bargain over employment? Q. J. Econ. 3, 773–787.
Lee, J., (2000), “The Robustness of Okun’s law: Evidence from OECD countries”. Journal of Macroeconomics. 22: 331-356.
Lockwood, B., Manning, A., 1989. Dynamic wage–employment bargaining with employ-ment adjustment costs. Econ. J. 1145–1158 (December).
Lucas, R.E., Rapping, L.A., 1969. Real wages, employment and inflation. J. Polit. Econ. 77(5), 721–754.
Lucas, R.E., Rapping, L.A., 1969. Real wages, employment and inflation. J. Polit. Econ. 77 (5), 721–754.
Luukkonen, R., Saikkonen, P., & Teräsvirta, T. (1988). Testing linearity against smooth transition autoregressive models. Biometrika, 75(3), 491-499.
Manning, D. A. C. (1995). Introduction. In Introduction to Industrial Minerals (pp. 1-16). Springer Netherlands.
Marinkov, M., & Geldenhuys, J. P. (2007). Cyclical unemployment and cyclical output: An estimation of Okun's coefficient for South Africa. South African Journal of Economics, 75(3), 373-390.
Marinkov,M.,&Geldenhuys, J.-P. (2007).Cyclical unemployment and cyclical output:An estimation ofOkun’s coefficient for South Africa. South African Journal of Economics, 75(3), 373–390.
McDonald, I.M., Solow, R.M., 1981. Wage bargaining and employment. Am. Econ. Rev. 71(5), 896 (908).
Moosa, I., (1996), “A cross-country comparison of Okun’s coefficient”. Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol.24, 335-356
Moosa, I., (2008). “Economic growth and unemployment in Arab countries: Is Okun’s law Valid?” Proceedings of the International Conferenceon the Unemployment Crisis in the Arab Countries. Mar. 17-18, Cairo- Egypt, pp: 1-19.
Naimy, V. Y. (2005). Unemployment in Lebanon: Application of Okun’s Law. Journal of Business & Economics Research, 3(10), 25-32.
Nickel, S., 1990. Unemployment survey. Econ. J. 391–439 (June).
Nickell, S., 1990. Inflation and the UK labor market. Oxf. Rev. Econ. Policy 6 (4) (Winter).
Nickell, S., 1998. Unemployment: questions and some answers. Econ. J. 108, 803–816.
Peach,R.,Rich,R.,&Cororaton,A. (2011).Howdoes slack influence inflation?Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 17(June).
Phelps, E.S., 1968.Money-wage dynamics and labor-market equilibrium. J. Polit. Econ. 76, 678–710.
Phelps, E.S., Taylor, J.B., 1977. Stabilisation powers of monetary policy under rational expectations. J. Polit. Econ. 85 (1), 163–190.
Phelps, E.S., Zoega, G., 1998. Natural rate theory and OECD unemployment. Econ. J. 108, 782–801.
Phillips, A.W., 1958. The relation between unemployment and the rate of change of money wage rates in the United Kingdom. Economica 1861-1957, 283–299.
Pissarides, C.A., 2000. Equilibrium Unemployment Theory. MIT Press
Pissarides, C.A., 2013. Unemployment in the great recession. Economica 80, 385–403.
Sadiku, M., Ibraimi, A., & Sadiku, L. (2015). Econometric Estimation of the Relationship between Unemployment Rate and Economic Growth of FYR of Macedonia. Procedia Economics and Finance, 19, 69-81.
Sarel, M. (1996). Nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth. IMF Staff Papers, 43, 199–215.
Sargent, T.J.,Wallace, N., 1975. “Rational” expectations, the optimalmonetary instrument, and the optimal money supply rule. J. Polit. Econ. 83 (2), 241–254
Sidrauski, M. (1967). Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy. American Economic Review, 57, 535–545.
Silvapulle, P.,Moosa, I. A.,& Silvapulle,M. J. (2004). Asymmetry in Okun’s law. Canadian Journal of Economics, 37(2), 353–374.
Sogner, L. and Stiassny, A.( 2002). “An analysis on the structural stability of Okun’s law--A cross-country study”. Applied Economic Letter., 34: 1775-1787.
Stockman, A. C. (1981). Anticipated inflation and the capital stock in a cash-in-advance economy. Journal of Monetary Economics, 8, 387–393.
Svensson, L.E.O., 1997. Inflation forecast targeting: implementing and monitoring inflation targets. Eur. Econ. Rev. 41 (6), 1111–1146.
Tang, B., & Bethencourt, C. Asymmetric unemployment-output tradeoff in the Eurozone. Journal of Policy Modeling (2017), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.01.003
Temple, J. (2000). Inflation and growth: stories short and tall. Journal of economic surveys, 14(4), 395-426.
Teräsvirta, T. (1994). Specification, estimation, and evaluation of smooth transition autoregressive models. Journal of the american Statistical association, 89(425), 208-218.
Tobin, J. (1965). Money and economic growth. Econometrica, 32, 671–684.
Tsay, R. S. (1989). Testing and modeling threshold autoregressive processes. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 84(405), 231-240.
Vinayagathasan, T. (2013). Inflation and economic growth: A dynamic panel threshold analysis for Asian economies. Journal of Asian Economics, 26, 31-41.
Virén, M. (2001). The Okun curve is non-linear. Economics letters, 70(2), 253-257.
Watson, M. (2014). Inflation persistence the NAIRU, and the Great Recession. American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, 104(5), 31–36.
Williams, J. (2010). Sailing into headwinds: The uncertain outlook for the U.S. economy, technical report 85. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Wilson, G.W. (1960). The Relationship between output and employment. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 37–43.
Zanin, L., & Marra, G. (2012). Assessing the functional relationship between CO 2 emissions and economic development using an additive mixed model approach. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1328-1337.
