Evaluation of Global Gridded Precipitation Datasets for Drought Monitoring (Case Study: Great Karoon Watershed)
Subject Areas : Farm water management with the aim of improving irrigation management indicatorsBehzad Navidi Nassaj 1 , Narges Zohrabi 2 , Alireza Nikbakht Shahbazi 3 , Hossein Fathian 4
1 - Department of Water Resources Engineering, Ahvaz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ahvaz, Iran.
2 - Department of Water Resources Engineering, Ahvaz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ahvaz, Iran.
3 - Department of Water Resources Engineering, Ahvaz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ahvaz, Iran.
4 - Department of Water Resources Engineering, Ahvaz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ahvaz, Iran.
Keywords: Drought, Spatio-temporal analysis, Gridded precipitation, Great Karun watershed, SPI,
Abstract :
In this study, the Spatio-temporal performance of 5 global gridded precipitation datasets including GPCC V8, CHIRPS V2, ECMWF ERA5, NASA MERRA2, and PERSIANN-CDR (PCDR) in drought monitoring has been evaluated. For this purpose, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and precipitation information of 13 synoptic stations of the Meteorological Organization of Iran during the thirty years of 1987-2016 has been used. Comparisons were carried out based on performance indices include correlation, mean square root error (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient, and modified agreement index (MAI) as well as drought detection accuracy metrics including False Alarm Ratio (FAR), probability of detection (POD) and the Critical Success Index (CSI). The results showed that GPCC, ERA5, PCDR datasets had a strong agreement with SPI observations so that they showed the drought trends and situations well and their R2 with observational SPI was
پیلپایه، ع.، شایقی، ا.، باختر، ا.، رحمتی. و وطنخواه، ا. 1399. ارزیابی منابع بارش جهانی با قدرت تفکیک زمانی و مکانی بالا در سطح حوضه دردهرود اردبیل. نشریه حفاظت منابع آب و خاک، 9(4)، 1-20.
حسینی موغاری، س.، عراقی نژاد، ش. و ابراهیمی، ک. 1395. ارزیابی پایگاههای جهانی دادههای بارش و کاربرد آنها در پایش خشکسالی (مطالعه موردی: حوضه کرخه)، هواشناسی کشاورزی، 4(2): 14-26.
رحمتی، ا. و مساح بوانی، ع. 1398. ارزیابی پایگاه دادههای جهانی بارش برای استفاده در مدلهای فیزیکی، مطالعه موردی: حوزه آبریز کارون، تحقیقات منابع آب ایران، 15 (1): 178-192.
زارعی، ک.، محمدی، حسین. و بازگیر، س. 1398. پیشبینی عناصر اقلیمی دما و بارش ایستگاه سینوپتیک گرگان براساس سناریوهای RCP، پژوهشهای جغرافیای طبیعی، 51(4): 5563-579.
میری، م.، رضیئی، ط. و رحیمی، م. 1395. ارزیابی و مقایسه آماری دادههای بارش TRMM و GPCC با دادههای مشاهدهای در ایران، فیزیک زمین و فضا، 42 (3): 657-672.
نویدی نساج، ب.، ظهرابی، ن.، شهبازی، ع. 1398. تحلیل یکپارچه اثر بهبود راندمان آبیاری بر شاخصهای اعتمادپذیری و آسیبپذیری سیستم منابع آب با در نظر گرفتن نوسانات آبدهی (مطالعه موردی حوضه دز). مجله علوم آب و خاک، ۲۳ (۲) :۳۷۹-۳۹۵.
Abbasian, M. S., Najafi, M. R. and Abrishamchi, A. 2020. Increasing risk of meteorological drought in the Lake Urmia basin under climate change: Introducing the precipitation–temperature deciles index. Journal of Hydrology, 125586.
Akinsanola, A. A., Ogunjobi, K., Ajayi, V., Adefisan, E., Omotosho, J. and Sanogo, S. 2017. Comparison of five gridded precipitation products at climatological scales over West Africa. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, (6) 129, 669-689.
Amini, A., Abdeh Kolahchi, A., Al-Ansari, N., Karami Moghadam, M. and Mohammad, T. 2019. Application of TRMM Precipitation Data to Evaluate Drought and Its Effects on Water Resources Instability. Applied Sciences, 924: 5377.
Behrangi, A., Fetzer, E. J. and Granger, S. L. 2016. Early detection of drought onset using near surface temperature and humidity observed from space. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 3716: 3911-3923.
Butu, H. M., Seo, Y. and Huh, J. S. 2020. Determining extremes for future precipitation in South Korea based on RCP scenarios using non-parametric SPI. Sustainability, 12(3): 963.
Chen, F. and Liu, C. 2012. Estimation of the spatial rainfall distribution using inverse distance weighting (IDW) in the middle of Taiwan. Paddy and Water Environment 10 (3), 209-222.
Darand, M. and Khandu, K. 2020. Statistical evaluation of gridded precipitation datasets using rain gauge observations over Iran. Journal of Arid Environments, 178: 104172.
Deng, X., Nie, S., Deng, W and Cao, W. 2017. Statistical evaluation of the performance of gridded monthly precipitation products from reanalysis data, satellite estimates, and merged analyses over China. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 132(1-2): 621-637.
Gringorten, I. 1963. A plotting rule for extreme probability paper. Journal of Geophysical Research, 68 (3), 813-814.
Farahmand, A. and AghaKouchak, A. 2015. A generalized framework for deriving nonparametric standardized drought indicators. Advances in Water Resources, 76: 140-145.
Faiz, M. A., Liu, D., Fu, Q., Sun, Q., Li, M., Baig., Li, T. and Cui, S. How accurate are the performances of gridded precipitation data products over Northeast China. Atmospheric Research 211 (1), 12:20.
Gao, Y. C. and Liu, M. F. 2013. Evaluation of high-resolution satellite precipitation products using rain Gauge observations over the Tibetan Plateau. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17(2): 837-849.
Golian, S., Javadian, M. and Behrangi, A. 2019. On the use of satellite, gauge, and reanalysis precipitation products for drought studies. Environmental Research Letters, 147: 075005.
Hao, Z. and AghaKouchak, A. 2014. A Nonparametric multivariate multi-index drought monitoring framework. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15(1): 89-101.
Islam, M. A., Yu, B. and Cartwright, N. 2020. Assessment and comparison of five satellite precipitation products in Australia. Journal of Hydrology, 590: 125474.
Liu, X., Feng, X., Ciais, P., Fu, B., Hu, B. and Sun, Z. 2020. GRACE satellite-based drought index indicating increased impact of drought over major basins in China during 2002–2017. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 291: 108057.
Madani, K., AghaKouchak, A. and Mirchi, A. 2016. Iran’s Socio-economic Drought: Challenges of a Water-Bankrupt Nation. Iranian Studies, 496: 997-1016.
Nash, J. and Sutcliffe, J. 1981. River flow forecasting through conceptual models part I - A discussion of principles. Journal of hydrology, 10 (3), 282-290.
Pour, S. H., Wahab, A. K. and Shahid, S. 2020. Spatiotemporal changes in aridity and the shift of drylands in Iran. Atmospheric Research, 233: 104704.
Satgé, F., Defrance, D., Sultan, B., Bonnet, M., Seyler, F., Rouché, N. and Pierron, F. 2020. Evaluation of 23 gridded precipitation datasets across West Africa. Journal of Hydrology, 581: 124412.
Shah, R. and Mishra, V. 2014. Evaluation of the Reanalysis Products for the Monsoon Season Droughts in India. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 154: 1575-1591.
Sharafati, A., Nabaei, S. and Shahid, S. 2019. Spatial assessment of meteorological drought features over different climate regions in Iran. International Journal of Climatology, 403: 1864-1884.
Su, F.G., Gao, H., Huffman, G.J. and Lettenmaier, D.P. 2011. Potential utility of the real-time TMPA-RT precipitation estimates in streamflow prediction. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 12 (3), 444–455.
Suliman, A. H., Awchi, T. A., Al-Mola, M. and Shahid, S. 2020. Evaluation of remotely sensed precipitation sources for drought assessment in Semi-Arid Iraq. Atmospheric Research, 242: 105007.
Sun, Q., Miao, C., Duan, Q., Ashouri, H., Sorooshian, S. and Hsu, K. 2018. A Review of Global Precipitation Data Sets: Data Sources, Estimation, and Intercomparisons. Reviews of Geophysics, 561: 79-107.
Svoboda, M., Hayes, M., Wood, D., 2012. Standardized Precipitation Index User Guide. World Meteorology. Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 24p.
Tan, M., Samat, N., Chan, N. and Roy, R. 2018. Hydro-Meteorological Assessment of Three GPM Satellite Precipitation Products in the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia. Remote Sensing, 10 (7), 1-15.
Wei, L., Jiang, S. and Ren, L. 2020. Evaluation and comparison of three long-term gauge-based precipitation products for drought monitoring over mainland China from 1961 to 2016. Natural Hazards, 1042: 1371-1387.
Willmott, C. 1981. On the validation of models. Physical Geography, 2 (2), 184-194.
Yao, J., Chen, Y., Yu, X., Zhao, Y., Guan, X. and Yang, L. 2020. Evaluation of multiple gridded precipitation datasets for the arid region of northwestern China. Atmospheric Research, 236: 104818. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104818.
Zhou, H., and Liu, Y. 2016. SPI based meteorological drought assessment over a humid basin: Effects of processing schemes. Water, 8(9): 373.
_||_