Double-bounded Dichotomous Choice CVM for an Urban Park; (Case Study: Azadi Park, Shiraz, Iran)

Subject Areas : environmental management

Seyed Abbas Seyed Salehi ¹ (MSc in Agricultural Economics, Shiraz Univeristy, Shiraz, Iran.)
Gholamreza Hajargasht ² (Professor of Department of Economics, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.)
Mohammad Bakhshoodeh ³ (- Professor, Agricultural Economics, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran.)
Zeynab SedghiMoradi ⁴ (MSc of Economics-Development Economics and Planning, Islamic Azad University-Central Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran.* (Corresponding Author))

Received: 2014-12-14 Accepted : 2015-06-11 Published : 2017-08-23

Keywords: Shiraz, Azadi Park, Contingent valuation Method, Dichotomous Choice, Bayesian E,

Abstract :

Background and Objective: Today, according to the increasing importance of green space and environment, decision making about environmental policies is growing at the national and international levels. Therefore, there is an urgent need for the information that could be used to promote efficient environmental decision making. Method: In this study, the economic benefits associated with Azadi Park in Shiraz, are estimated using a double-bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation survey design. The model is estimated applying the Bayesian method. Data for this study was collected with the help of 215 respondants in 2012. Findings: The model was calibrated for the years 1992-1996 and validated for the years 1998-2000. The coefficient of determination (R2) for monthly flow was equal to 0.82 and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (Ens) was equal to 0.8 in the calibration period, while in the validation period these coefficients were 0.77 and 0.73, respectively. Conclusion: The results indicate that income, household size, quality and beauty of the park have a significant positive effect and history of visiting has a robust negative effect on the acceptance of bid price. ؤisitors are willing to pay 4390 Rials per person per day on average, resulting in aggregate benefits of 14000 million Rials yearly. The present value of these aggregate benefits equals to 190000 million Rials, using a social discount rate of 7.2 %.

References:

منابع

1-      Spash, C. L. (1998). Investigating individual motives for environmental action: Lexicographic preferences, beliefs and attitudes. In J. Lemons, L. Westra, & R. Goodland (Eds.), Ecological Sustainability and Integrity: Concepts and Approaches (Vol. 13, pp. 46-62). Dordrecht, The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

2-      Hanley, P., 1999. Cost-benefit analysis of environmental policy and management. In: J.C.J.M. van de Bergh (ed.), 1999

3-   امامی. ع و قاضی.م، 1387، برآورد ارزش تفریحی پارک ساعی در تهران با استفاده از روش ارزش گذاری مشروط، فصل نامه پژوهش های اقتصادی ایران، سال دوازدهم، شماره 36، صص187-202.

4-      Chiesura, A. (2004). The role of urban parks for the sustainable city. Landscape and Urban Planning 68 (2004) 129–138.

5-      سازمان فضای سبز شیراز، 1391.

6-      Amirnejad, H., Khalilian, S., Assareh, M.H., & Ahmadian, M. (2006). Estimating the existence value of north forests of Iran by using a contingent valuation method. Ecological Economics, 58, 665-675.

7-      Lee, c. and S. Han. (2002). Estimating the use and preservation values of national parks’ tourism resources using a contingent valuation method. Tourism Management 23. 531–540

8-      Asafu, j. and S. Tapsuwan. (2008) A contingent valuation study of scuba diving benefits: Case study in Mu Ko Similan Marine National Park, Thailand. Tourism Management 29. 1122–1130.

9-      نهرلی. د، 1374، ارزیابی اقتصادی و اجتماعی پارک ائل گولی تبریز، پایان نامه کارشناسی ارشد محیط زیست، دانشکده منابع طبیعی، دانشگاه تهران.

10-  مجابی. م و منوری. م، 1384، ارزش گذاری اقتصادی پارک های پردیسان و لویزان، فصل نامه علوم محیطی، شماره 7، صص7-63.

11-  امیر نژاد. ح، 1385، اقتصاد منابع طبیعی، انتشارات جاودانه.

12-  پرون. ص و اسماعیلی. ع، 1387، برآورد ارزش غیربازاری جنگل حرا در استان هرمزگان، اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی، 24(2)، صص162-168.

13- امیرنژاد. ح و رفیعی.ح،1391، بررسی و تعیین تابع ارزش تفرجی منطقه گردش گری سلیمان تنگه ساری، فصل نامه علوم و تکنولوژی محیط زیست، دوره چهاردهم، شماره1.

14- مرادی.م، صدرالاشرافی.م،  مقدسی. ر و یزدانی. س،1391، برآورد ارزش تفریحی پارک جنگلی یاسوج با استفاده از روش ارزش گذاری مشروط، تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی، شماره4، جلد4، صص 190-173.

15- فتاحی اردکانی. ا، 1392، برآورد ارزش اقتصادی آبشار مارگون در استان فارس از دیدگاه کارکرد تفرجگاهی، پژوهش های محیط زیست، سال 4 ، شماره 8، صص 216-207.

16-  Madjnonian, H. and H. Goshtasb (2003). Environmental planning of Lavandvil wildlife refuge. Tehran: Department Of Environment Publication.

17-  Sorg, C. F., & Nelson, L. J. (1987). Net economic value of waterfowl hunting in Idaho. Resource Bulletin RM-14, Fort Collins, CO: USDA Forest Service.

18-  Carson, R. T., & Mitchell, R. C. (1993). The value of clean water: the public’s willingness to pay for boatable, fishable, and swimmable quality water. Water Resources Research, 29(July), 2445–2454.

19-  Hanemann, M., Loomis, J., & Kanninen, B. (1991). Statistical efficiency of double-bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 73(4), 1255–1263.

20-  Arrow, K., Solow, R., Portney, P., Leamer, E., Radner, R., & Schuman, H. (1993). Report of the national oceanic and atmospheric administration panel on contingent valuation. Federal Register, 58, 4602–4614.

21-  Hanemann, W. Michael (1984) .Welfare Evaluations in Contingent Valuation Experiments with DiscreteResponses. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 66, 332-341.

22-  Coop, G. (2003). Bayesian econometrics. John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

23-  Alberini, A., Boyle K. and Walsh, M. (2003). .Analysis of contingent valuation data with multiple bids and response options allowing respondents to express uncertainty., Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,Vol. 45, pp. 40-62.

24-  Fernandez, C., Leon, C. J., Steel, M. F. J. and Vazquez-Polo, F. J. (2004). .Bayesian analysis of interval data contingent valuation models and pricing policies., Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 22, pp. 431-442.

25-  Lahiri, K. and Gao, J. (2002). .Bayesian analysis of nested logit model by Markov chain Monte Carlo., Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 111, pp. 103-133.

26-  King, g. (2010). http://gking.harvard.edu/zelig

27-  Forster, B. A. (1989). Valuing outdoor recreational activity: a methodological survey. Journal of Leisure Research, 21(2), 181–201.

28-  Hill, R., Griffiths, W., & Judge, G. (2001). Undergraduate econometrics (2nd ed.). New York: Wiley.

29-  Hanemann, M. (1989). Welfare evaluations in contingent valuation experiments with discrete response data: Reply. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 71(4), 1057–1061.

30-  عبدلی. ق، 1388، تخمین نرخ تنزیل اجتماعی برای ایران، پژوهش نامه اقتصادی، 3، صص 135-156.