Comparative study of corporate investment, financing decisions and political risk: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange
Subject Areas :
Journal of Investment Knowledge
Ebrahim Ebrahimi
1
,
nasrin zolfagharkhani
2
,
Nader Naghshineh
3
1 - Ph.D. candidate, Financial Engineering Faculty, Accounting and Management Department, Islamic Azad University, Eslamshahr Branch, Tehran, Iran
2 - Ph.D. candidate, Financial Engineering Faculty, Accounting and Management Department, Islamic Azad University, Eslamshahr Branch, Tehran, Iran
3 - Assistant Professor, Financial Management Faculty, Accounting and Management Department, Islamic Azad University, Eslamshahr Branch, Tehran, Iran
Received: 2022-12-24
Accepted : 2023-01-10
Published : 2024-03-20
Keywords:
Iran's capital market,
corporate financing decisions,
corporate investment,
Political Risk,
Abstract :
Objective: Knowing the financial, economic and political variables is very important for the decisions of financial market activists and investors, and not considering these variables causes disruption in decision making.This research has been written with the aim of how political risk influences corporate financing and investment decisions.Research Methodology: In the present research with practical purpose, the collected information related to 34 companies in the period of 2013-2016 have been analyzed using Eviews 11 software and in order to estimate the model related to Hypotheses, data pooling method and panel data have been used.results:The findings showed that political risks and company-level and country-level factors affect companies' financing decisions. Also, the effect of political risks on financing decisions is different under different financing strategies such as debt and equity financing. Also, political risks and company-level and country-level factors have a negative and significant effect on corporate investment.Originality/scientific added value: The financing of companies decreases due to political risk. Political risks have a negative effect on economic and financial activities. To avoid losses caused by sudden political shocks, companies use less financing in financial decision-making when they face high political risk. As a result, it causes a decrease in corporate investment and the entry of liquidity into the production sector and productive activities.
References:
تقوی، مهدی و شاهوردیانی، شادی، (1389) ،سرکوب مالی و رشد و توسعه اقتصادی، مهندسی مالی و مدیریت پرتفوی شماره 1 ،ص 818-131 .
جهانگرد، اسفندیار، علی عسگری، سارا، )1390( ،بررسی اثر توسعه مالی بر کارایی سیاست پولی درکشورهای توسعه یافته ودر حال توسعه، فصلنامه تحقیقات و مدل سازی اقتصادی شماره 1 ,163-111
خلعتبری فیروزه . ) 1371(مجموعه مفاهیم پولی، بانکی و بین المللی. تهران: انتشارات شباویز.
فتحی، سعید، کبیری پور، وحید، (1391 )،بررسی ابعاد مختلف ریسک سیاسی وتاثیرات آن بر سرمایه گذاری مستقیم خارجی، بررسی های بازرگانی شماره 58 ، ص99-80.
فتحی، سعید، صامتی، مجید، عسگرنژاد نوری، باقر، (1391 )،تبیین توسعه ساختار بازاراوراق بهادار، مطالعات مدیریت راهبردی شماره9 ،ص 13-99.
فراهانی، مریم، (1390) ،اثرات نااطمینانی و ریسک بر جذب سرمایه گذاری مستقیم خارجی در ایران، پایان نامه دکتری علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه اصفهان، دانشکده علوم اداری و اقتصاد.
کشاورز حداد، غالمرضا ، حیدری، هادی، (1399) ،بررسی تاثیر اخبار سیاسی بر تالطم بازار سهام تهران مقایسه مدل های عمومی FAGARCH) و( MSM ، مجله تحقیقات اقتصادی شماره31 ،ص 196-111 .
اندرسون، سی.آر،مانسی، 2003. تاسیس مالکیت خانواده و هزینه نمایندگی بدهی. جی. فاینانس. اقتصاد 68 (2)، 263-285.
بکر, س.ر., بلوم, ن., دویس, س.ج., ۲۰۱۶. اندازه گیری عدم قطعیت سیاست اقتصادی. J. Econ. 131 (4)، 1593-1636.
کالدرا2018.اندازه گیری ریسک ژئوپلیتیک. بحث مالی بین المللی FRB. شماره کاغذ 1222. چانگ، ایکس، چن، ی.، داسگوپتا، اس.، 2019.
ژانگ دی،جیو،وانگ،چن،2019. تاثیر سیاست پولی ایالات متحده بر سرمایه گذاری تحقیق و توسعه شرکت های چینی مالی Lett. پیش رو. عدم قطعیت سیاست اقتصادی و انتخاب ساختار سرمایه: شواهدی از چین. اقتصاد سیستم 39 (3)، 439-457. سی
Anderson, R.C., Mansi, S.A., Reeb, D.M., 2003. Founding family ownership and the agency cost of debt. J. Financ. Econ. 68 (2), 263–285.
Bernanke, B.S., 1983. Irreversibility, uncertainty, and cyclical investment. Q. J. Econ. 98 (1), 85–106. Billett, M.T., King, T.H.D., Mauer, D.C., 2007.
Daniel Gyimah, Albert Danso, Emmanuel Adu-Ameyaw, Agyenim Boateng,2022. Firm-level political risk and corporate leverage decisions. International Review of Financial AnalysisVolume 84, November 2022, 102354
İlhan Çam, Gökhan Özer, 2021. Institutional quality and corporate financing decisions around the world. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance Volume 57, July 2021, 101401
Khanh Hoang, Muhammad Arif, Cuong Nguyent2022. Corporate investment and government policy during the COVID-19 crisis. International Review of Economics & Finance Volume 80, July 2022, Pages 677-696
Wonseok Choi, Chune Young Chung, Kainan Wang , 2022. Firm-level political risk and corporate investment. Finance Research Letters
Volume 46, Part A, May 2022, 102307
Yang, Z., Yu, Y., Zhang, Y., Zhou, S., 2019. Policy uncertainty exposure and market value: evidence from China. Pac. Basin Finance J. 57, 101178. Zhang, D., Lei, L., Ji, Q., Kutan, A.M., 2019a. Economic policy uncertainty in the US and China and their impact on the global markets. Econ. Modell. 79, 472–456.
Zhang, D., Guo, Y., Wang, Z., Chen, Y., 2019b. The impact of US monetary policy on Chinese enterprises’ R&D investment. Financ. Res. Lett. Forthcoming. Zhang, G., Han, J., Pan, Z., Huang, H., 2015. Economic policy uncertainty and capital structure choice: evidence from China. Econ. Syst. 39 (3), 439–457. C
Miller, M.H., 1977. Debt and taxes. J. Finance 32 (2), 261–275.
Morellec, E., Nikolov, B., Zucchi, F., 2014. Competition, Cash Holdings, and Financing Decisions. Swiss Finance Institute Research. Paper No. 13-72. Myers, S., 1984. The capital structure puzzle. J. Finance 39 (3), 575–592.
Lee, C.C., Lee, C.C., 2019. Oil price shocks and Chinese banking performance: do country risks matter? Energy Econ. 77, 46–53. Lee, C.C., Lee, C.C., Lien, D., 2019. Do country risk and financial uncertainty matter for energy commodity futures? J. Futures Mark. 39 (3), 366–383.
Lee, C.C., Lee, C.C., Ning, S.L., 2017a. Dynamic relationship of oil price shocks and country risks. Energy Econ. 66, 571–581.
Yang, Z., Yu, Y., Zhang, Y., Zhou, S., 2019. Policy uncertainty exposure and market value: evidence from China. Pac. Basin Finance J. 57, 101178. Zhang, D., Lei, L., Ji, Q., Kutan, A.M., 2019a. Economic policy uncertainty in the US and China and their impact on the global markets. Econ. Modell. 79, 472–456.
_||_