تعیین استراتژی های تاب آوری و تأثیرات متقابل آنها در زنجیره تأمین ایران خودرو
الموضوعات :کاظم روانستان 1 , حسنعلی آقاجانی 2 , عبدالحمید صفایی قادیکلایی 3 , محمود یحیی‌زاده‌فر 4
1 - دانشجوی دکتری، گروه مدیریت صنعتی، دانشکده علوم اقتصادی و اداری، دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایران
2 - دانشیارگروه مدیریت صنعتی، دانشکده علوم اقتصادی و اداری، دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایران
3 - دانشیارگروه مدیریت صنعتی، دانشکده علوم اقتصادی واداری،دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایران
4 - استادگروه مدیریت بازرگانی،دانشکده علوم اقتصادی واداری،دانشگاه مازندران،بابلسر،ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: ایران خودرو, استراتژی, بازیابی, تاب آوری,
ملخص المقالة :
تحقیق حاضر به مطالعه و بررسی زنجیره تأمین تاب آور شرکت ایران خودرو می پردازد. هدف این تحقیق ارتقای تاب آوری زنجیره تأمین ایران خودرو در مقابل آشفتگی های محیطی می باشد. به همین منظور استراتژی هایی که بتواند از وقوع توقفات در خطوط تولید ایران خودرو جلوگیری کرده و یا در صورت توقف، با کمترین زمان ممکن به حالت قبل از شکست یا مطلوب تر از آن بازیابی شود، تعیین شدند و روابط علت و معلولی بین این استراتژی ها نیز مشخص شدند. در این تحقیق کلیه حالات شکست که پتانسیل توقف خطوط تولید ایران خودرو را دارند (12 حالت شکست) از طریق تئوری تحقیق و نظرات خبرگان شناسایی شده است. جامعه آماری این تحقیق مدیران و کارشناسان واحدهای لجستیک و برنامه ریزی شرکت ساپکو بوده است. در این تحقیق از تکنیک تحلیل حالات شکست و اثرات آن(FMEA) برای تعیین استراتژی های تاب آوری در زنجیره تأمین قبل از بروز شکست و تکنیک جدید تحلیل شکست پس از وقوع (FAAO) برای تعیین استراتژی های تاب آوری زنجیره تأمین بعد از وقوع شکست استفاده شده است. همچنین با استفاده از روش دیمتل[1]نیز روابط بین استراتژی های تاب آوری که با استفاده ازتکنیک های[2] (FMEA و FAAO) تعیین شدند، بعلاوه جهت تأثیرات متقابل بین آنها مشخص شدند. خبرگان از طریق تکنیک FMEA چهار حالت شکست را که دارای بیشترین نمره اولویت ریسک[3](RPN) بوده اند، را انتخاب و تعداد 21 استراتژی برای تاب آور ساختن زنجیره تأمین ایران خودرو برای مقابله با این حالات شکست معرفی کردند. از طریق تکنیک FAAO نیز تعداد 6 استراتژی جهت تاب آور ساختن زنجیره تأمین نسبت به شکست تعیین شدند. [1].Dematel [2].Failure Modes and Effects Analysis & Failure Analysis After Occurrence [3].Risk Priority Number
Ambulkar, S., Blackhurst, J., & Grawe, S.(2015). Firm’s Resilience to Supply Chain Disruptions: Scale Development and Empirical Examination.Journal of Operations Management,33&34,111-122.
Azadeh, A., Meydani, N.S., & Haghighi, S.M.(2017). Performance Optimization of an Aluminum Factory in Economic Crisis by Integrated Resilience Engineering and Mathematical Programming. Safety Science, 91, 335-350.
Azevedo, S. A., Machado, V. H., Barroso, A. P., & Cruz-Machado, V. (2008). Supply Chain Vulnerability: Environment Changes and Dependencies. International Journal of Logistics and Transport, 1, 41-55.
Barroso, A.P., Machado, V.H., & Cruz-Machado, V.(2008). A Supply Chain Disturbances Classification. Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management.
Berle, Ø., Rice Jr., J. B., & Asbjørnslett, B.E.(2011). Failure Modes in the Maritime Transportation System: A Functional Approach to Throughput Vulnerability. Maritime Policy & Management, 38(6), 605-632.
Blackhurst, J., Dunn, K.S., & Craighead, C.W.(2011). An Empirically Derived Framework of Global Supply Resiliency. Journal of Business Logistics, 32(4), 374-391.
Blackhurst, J., Craighead, C. W., Elkins, D., & Handfield, R.B.(2005). An Empirically Derived Agenda of Critical Research Issues for Managing Supply-Chain Disruptions. International Journal of Production Research, 43(19), 4067-4081.
Carvalho, H., Tavares, J. G., & Cruz-Machado, V.(2012). A Mapping Framework for Assessing Supply Chain Resilience. International Journal of Logistics Systems and Management, 12(3), 354-373.
Carvalho, H.(2012). Modelling Resilience in Supply Chain. Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia and Universidade Nova de Lisboa.
Carvalho, H., & Cruz-Machado, V.(2011). Integrating Lean, Agile, Resilience and Green Paradigms in Supply Chain Management. Intech Publication.
Chopra, S., & Sodhi, M.S.(2004). Supply-Chain breakdown. MIT Sloan Management Review, 46(1), 53-62.
Christopher, M., & Peck, H.(2004). Building the Resilient Supply Chain. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 15(2), 1-14.
Craighead, C. W., Blackhurst, J., Rungtusanatham, M. J., & Handfield, R.B.(2007). The Severity of Supply Chain Disruptions: Design Characteristics and Mitigation Capabilities. Decision Sciences, 38(1), 131-156.
Fakoor, A. M., Olfat, L., Feizi, K., & Amiri, M.(2014). A Supply Chain Resilience Model for Competitiveness in Iranian Automobile Manufacturers. Production and Operations Management, 5, 143-164, (In Persian).
Glickman, T. S., & White, S.C.(2006). Security, Visibility and Resilience: The Keys to Mitigating Supply Chain Vulnerabilities. International Journal of Logistics Systems and Management, 2(2), 107-119.
Hanna, J. B., Skipper, J. B., & Hall, D.(2010). Mitigating Supply Chain Disruption: The Importance of Top Management Support to Collaboration and Flexibility. International Journal of Logistics Systems and Management, 6.
Hora, M., & Klassen, R.D.(2013). Learning from others’ Misfortune: Factors Influencing Knowledge Acquisition to Reduce Operational Risk. Journal of Operations Management, 31(1-2), 52-61.
Hsu, C. C., & Liou, J.J.H.(2013). An Outsourcing Provider Decision Model for the Airline Industry. Journal of Air Transport Management 28, 40-46.
Jafarnezhad, A., & Mohseni, M.(2015). Presenting a Framework to Improve Resilience Supply Chain Performance. Iranian Journal of Supply Chain Management, 48, 38-51, (In Persian).
Loh, H. S., & Thai, V.V.(2014). Managing Port-Related Supply Chain Disruptions: A Conceptual Paper. The Asian journal of shipping and logistics, 30, 97-116.
Mason-Jones, R., & Towill, D.(1998). Shrinking the Supply Chain Uncertainty Circle. The Institute of Operations Management Control Journal, 24(7), 17-22.
Matsuo, H.(2015). Implications of the Tohoku earthquake for Toyota’s coordination mechanism: Supply chain disruption of automotive semiconductors. International Journal of Production Economics, 161, 217-227.
Mensah, P., & Merkuryev, Y.(2014). Developing a Resilient Supply Chain. Procedia- Social and Behavioral Sciences, 110, 309-319.
Mitchell, G., & McDonald, A.(2015). Developing Resilience to England's Future Droughts: Time for Cap and Trade?. Journal of Environmental Management, 149, 97-107.
Narasimhan, R., & Talluri, S.(2009). Perspectives on Risk Management in Supply Chains. Journal of Operation Management. 27(2),114-118.
Pettit, T. J., Fiksel, J., & Croxton, K.L.(2010). Ensuring Supply Chain Resilience: Development of a Conceptual Framework. Journal of Business Logistics, 31(1), 1–21.
Ponomarov, S.Y., & Holcomb, M.C.(2009). Understanding the Concept of Supply Chain Resilience. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 20(1), 124-143.
Rajesh, R.(2016). Forecasting Supply Chain Resilience Performance Using Grey Prediction. Electronic Commerce Research and Applications, 20, 42-58.
Rice, J. B., & Caniato, F.(2003). Building a Secure and Resilient Supply Network. Supply Chain Management Review,7(7),22-30.
Sheffi, Y., & Rice, J.B.(2005). A Supply Chain View of the Resilient Enterprise. Sloan Management Review, 47(1), 41-48.
Shu, T., Chen, S., Wang, S., & Lai, K.K.(2014). Gbom-Oriented Management of Production Disruption Risk and Optimization of Supply Chain Construction. Expert Systems with Applications, 41, 59-68.
Soni, U., Jain, V., & Kumar, S.(2014). Measuring Supply Chain Resilience Using a Deterministic Modeling Approach. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 74, 11-25.
Starr, R., Newfrock, J., & Delurey, M.(2003). Enterprise Resilience: Managing Risk in the Networked Economy. Strategy and Business, 30, 70-79.
Svensson, G.(2001). Perceived Trust towards Suppliers and Customers in Supply Chains of the Swedish Automotive Industry. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 31(9), 647-662.
Svensson, G.A.(2000). Conceptual Framework for the Analysis of Vulnerability in Supply Chains. International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management, 30(9), 731-749.
Tomlin, B.(2006). On the Value of Mitigation and Contingency Strategies for Managing Supply Chain Disruption Risks. Management Science, 52(5), 639-657.
Torabi, S.A., Baghersad, M., & Mansouri, S.A.(2015). Resilient Supplier Selection and Order Allocation under Operational and Disruption Risks. Transportation Research Part, E 79, 22–48.
Tzeng, G. H., & Huang, J.J.(2011). Multiple Attribute Decision Making Methods and applications. America: CRC PressTaylor & Francis Group.
Vugrin, E., Warren, D., & Ehlen, M.(2011). A Resilience Assessment Framework for Infrastructure and Economic Systems: Quantitative and Qualitative Resilience Analysis of Petrochemical Supply Chains to a Hurricane. Process Safety Progress, 30(3), 280–290.
Wu, H. H., Shieh, J. I., Li, Y., & Chen, H. L.(2010). A Combination of AHP and Dematel in Evaluating the Criteria of Employment Service Outreach Program Personnel. Information Technology Journal, 9(3), 569-575.
Wu, W.(2008). Choosing Knowledge Management Strategies by Using a Combined ANP and Dematel Approach. Expert Systems with Applications, 35(3), 828-835.
_||_Ambulkar, S., Blackhurst, J., & Grawe, S.(2015). Firm’s Resilience to Supply Chain Disruptions: Scale Development and Empirical Examination.Journal of Operations Management,33&34,111-122.
Azadeh, A., Meydani, N.S., & Haghighi, S.M.(2017). Performance Optimization of an Aluminum Factory in Economic Crisis by Integrated Resilience Engineering and Mathematical Programming. Safety Science, 91, 335-350.
Azevedo, S. A., Machado, V. H., Barroso, A. P., & Cruz-Machado, V. (2008). Supply Chain Vulnerability: Environment Changes and Dependencies. International Journal of Logistics and Transport, 1, 41-55.
Barroso, A.P., Machado, V.H., & Cruz-Machado, V.(2008). A Supply Chain Disturbances Classification. Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management.
Berle, Ø., Rice Jr., J. B., & Asbjørnslett, B.E.(2011). Failure Modes in the Maritime Transportation System: A Functional Approach to Throughput Vulnerability. Maritime Policy & Management, 38(6), 605-632.
Blackhurst, J., Dunn, K.S., & Craighead, C.W.(2011). An Empirically Derived Framework of Global Supply Resiliency. Journal of Business Logistics, 32(4), 374-391.
Blackhurst, J., Craighead, C. W., Elkins, D., & Handfield, R.B.(2005). An Empirically Derived Agenda of Critical Research Issues for Managing Supply-Chain Disruptions. International Journal of Production Research, 43(19), 4067-4081.
Carvalho, H., Tavares, J. G., & Cruz-Machado, V.(2012). A Mapping Framework for Assessing Supply Chain Resilience. International Journal of Logistics Systems and Management, 12(3), 354-373.
Carvalho, H.(2012). Modelling Resilience in Supply Chain. Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia and Universidade Nova de Lisboa.
Carvalho, H., & Cruz-Machado, V.(2011). Integrating Lean, Agile, Resilience and Green Paradigms in Supply Chain Management. Intech Publication.
Chopra, S., & Sodhi, M.S.(2004). Supply-Chain breakdown. MIT Sloan Management Review, 46(1), 53-62.
Christopher, M., & Peck, H.(2004). Building the Resilient Supply Chain. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 15(2), 1-14.
Craighead, C. W., Blackhurst, J., Rungtusanatham, M. J., & Handfield, R.B.(2007). The Severity of Supply Chain Disruptions: Design Characteristics and Mitigation Capabilities. Decision Sciences, 38(1), 131-156.
Fakoor, A. M., Olfat, L., Feizi, K., & Amiri, M.(2014). A Supply Chain Resilience Model for Competitiveness in Iranian Automobile Manufacturers. Production and Operations Management, 5, 143-164, (In Persian).
Glickman, T. S., & White, S.C.(2006). Security, Visibility and Resilience: The Keys to Mitigating Supply Chain Vulnerabilities. International Journal of Logistics Systems and Management, 2(2), 107-119.
Hanna, J. B., Skipper, J. B., & Hall, D.(2010). Mitigating Supply Chain Disruption: The Importance of Top Management Support to Collaboration and Flexibility. International Journal of Logistics Systems and Management, 6.
Hora, M., & Klassen, R.D.(2013). Learning from others’ Misfortune: Factors Influencing Knowledge Acquisition to Reduce Operational Risk. Journal of Operations Management, 31(1-2), 52-61.
Hsu, C. C., & Liou, J.J.H.(2013). An Outsourcing Provider Decision Model for the Airline Industry. Journal of Air Transport Management 28, 40-46.
Jafarnezhad, A., & Mohseni, M.(2015). Presenting a Framework to Improve Resilience Supply Chain Performance. Iranian Journal of Supply Chain Management, 48, 38-51, (In Persian).
Loh, H. S., & Thai, V.V.(2014). Managing Port-Related Supply Chain Disruptions: A Conceptual Paper. The Asian journal of shipping and logistics, 30, 97-116.
Mason-Jones, R., & Towill, D.(1998). Shrinking the Supply Chain Uncertainty Circle. The Institute of Operations Management Control Journal, 24(7), 17-22.
Matsuo, H.(2015). Implications of the Tohoku earthquake for Toyota’s coordination mechanism: Supply chain disruption of automotive semiconductors. International Journal of Production Economics, 161, 217-227.
Mensah, P., & Merkuryev, Y.(2014). Developing a Resilient Supply Chain. Procedia- Social and Behavioral Sciences, 110, 309-319.
Mitchell, G., & McDonald, A.(2015). Developing Resilience to England's Future Droughts: Time for Cap and Trade?. Journal of Environmental Management, 149, 97-107.
Narasimhan, R., & Talluri, S.(2009). Perspectives on Risk Management in Supply Chains. Journal of Operation Management. 27(2),114-118.
Pettit, T. J., Fiksel, J., & Croxton, K.L.(2010). Ensuring Supply Chain Resilience: Development of a Conceptual Framework. Journal of Business Logistics, 31(1), 1–21.
Ponomarov, S.Y., & Holcomb, M.C.(2009). Understanding the Concept of Supply Chain Resilience. The International Journal of Logistics Management, 20(1), 124-143.
Rajesh, R.(2016). Forecasting Supply Chain Resilience Performance Using Grey Prediction. Electronic Commerce Research and Applications, 20, 42-58.
Rice, J. B., & Caniato, F.(2003). Building a Secure and Resilient Supply Network. Supply Chain Management Review,7(7),22-30.
Sheffi, Y., & Rice, J.B.(2005). A Supply Chain View of the Resilient Enterprise. Sloan Management Review, 47(1), 41-48.
Shu, T., Chen, S., Wang, S., & Lai, K.K.(2014). Gbom-Oriented Management of Production Disruption Risk and Optimization of Supply Chain Construction. Expert Systems with Applications, 41, 59-68.
Soni, U., Jain, V., & Kumar, S.(2014). Measuring Supply Chain Resilience Using a Deterministic Modeling Approach. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 74, 11-25.
Starr, R., Newfrock, J., & Delurey, M.(2003). Enterprise Resilience: Managing Risk in the Networked Economy. Strategy and Business, 30, 70-79.
Svensson, G.(2001). Perceived Trust towards Suppliers and Customers in Supply Chains of the Swedish Automotive Industry. International Journal of Physical Distribution & Logistics Management, 31(9), 647-662.
Svensson, G.A.(2000). Conceptual Framework for the Analysis of Vulnerability in Supply Chains. International Journal of Physical Distribution and Logistics Management, 30(9), 731-749.
Tomlin, B.(2006). On the Value of Mitigation and Contingency Strategies for Managing Supply Chain Disruption Risks. Management Science, 52(5), 639-657.
Torabi, S.A., Baghersad, M., & Mansouri, S.A.(2015). Resilient Supplier Selection and Order Allocation under Operational and Disruption Risks. Transportation Research Part, E 79, 22–48.
Tzeng, G. H., & Huang, J.J.(2011). Multiple Attribute Decision Making Methods and applications. America: CRC PressTaylor & Francis Group.
Vugrin, E., Warren, D., & Ehlen, M.(2011). A Resilience Assessment Framework for Infrastructure and Economic Systems: Quantitative and Qualitative Resilience Analysis of Petrochemical Supply Chains to a Hurricane. Process Safety Progress, 30(3), 280–290.
Wu, H. H., Shieh, J. I., Li, Y., & Chen, H. L.(2010). A Combination of AHP and Dematel in Evaluating the Criteria of Employment Service Outreach Program Personnel. Information Technology Journal, 9(3), 569-575.
Wu, W.(2008). Choosing Knowledge Management Strategies by Using a Combined ANP and Dematel Approach. Expert Systems with Applications, 35(3), 828-835.
